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I’ve been concerned for quite a while now that we’re heading into a new dark age.
Not because of too little information, but because of too much. And we have no idea which information to trust.
With AI and deepfakes, we can’t trust pictures or videos or audio or voices.
With the loss of trust in institutions and experts, our ability to discern truth from falsehood, especially on complex topics that require specialized knowledge, will only continue to diminish.
We’ll need new a new class of diviners, oracles, shamans, prophets, dowsers, and priests.
Homeopathy and homebrewed treatments, medically sound or not, will continue to replace medical interventions approved by the FDA or recommended by the CDC.
Doctors will be increasingly viewed with the same level of suspicion as used car salesmen.
Large Language Models will grow more powerful, more lifelike, and eventually be seen as more trustworthy than humans by many who have access to them.
“Any sufficiently advanced technology,” Arthur C. Clarke famously wrote, “is indistinguishable from magic.”
and I were talking on the phone yesterday — which is a very old-fashioned thing to do — about the scientific study of paranormal phenomena at places like Skinwalker Ranch. Kale made the point that Modernism eliminated the mystical and replaced it with the empirical. And yet, we both agreed that there is something fascinating going on as scientific instrumentation and methods are used to study and try to understand mysteries that seem to defy known scientific laws.There is something almost medieval about this entire phenomenon.
Older kinds of magic are still with us, too, and they are determined to remain inscrutable.
The line in the silicon, if it was ever going to be drawn, needed to be drawn before cell phones.
Are you old enough to remember the before time? When there was no internet, and everything was slow and synchronous and analog and linear? Nobody knew how much they didn’t know, but they remembered a lot more than they do now, with access to everything
How many of the phone numbers of your closest friends and family do you know by heart? How much of your memory do you outsource to note apps or email archives or curation tools?
Have you spoken with an elderly person recently? Even the ones on the threshold of dementia have a startling clarity of detail. Names, dates, locations, relationships between the characters in stories they tell about things that happened 50 or 60 years ago. They never adapted to tech that allowed them to forget, so they have Rolodexes in their heads. It’s almost incomprehensible for us to imagine so much specificity without looking things up.
Do you remember what it was like not to reach for your phone every time you had a moment to yourself? At a stoplight, in a grocery store line, waiting in the car for your spouse, taking a trip to the rest room?
There’s a quote attributed to the father of the cyberpunk genre, William Gibson, that goes like this: “The future is already here. It's just not evenly distributed yet.”
To riff off of that: we’re all cyborgs already, we just haven’t fully integrated it yet.
Weird, inexplicable things do happen, I agree. Like omens, or life imitating art, or art imitating life. I haven't had weird stuff happen to me except for omens, most of which I missed. Tolstoy knew about omens, and sprinkled them throughout "Anna Karinina". Yet he died as she died in the novel (spoiler alert) and even then, he probably didn't see (as he lay dying in a train station, having fled his family, as Anna did before him in his novel) it as a case of life imitating art, art he himself created. And then there are aliens, which I think do exist (i.e., I think intelligent life exists beyond earth), but which I can't explain so try not to worry about.
I prefer the internet age to the 70's and 80's I'm afraid. No more struggling alone (or with one's spouse) alone in the car with billowing maps (which are hard to refold), and getting lost and yelling at eachother ("You said turn left! I should have turned right! Why can't you navigate?"). It is much easier to buy (or rent) things, including real estate. Would we want to live without Amazon? Nope. Or Zoom? Nope. But AI is worrisome, I agree. I am trying to stay out of AI as much as possible, I will not read AI created "writing", novels, articles, etc., but then, how would I know? I don't want to listen to AI created music or look at AI created art. Computer-assisted design, yes, but completely computer created writing, music or art? Nope, it doesn't have "soul". Show me your art, I'm looking into your mind and your soul. Don't show me something created exclusively with coding please. I prefer human-created things--they have a little mystery, enchantment and beauty to them.
"The line in the silicon, if it was ever going to be drawn, needed to be drawn before cell phones." <-this feels sooooo true.